HOGUE'S LAW

"When you flush a toilet, the loudest noise is the final gurgle."- author John Hogue,  Aug. 1, 2012

WEINER'S LAW AND HARFORD'S COROLLARY

Earl Wiener, a cult figure in aviation safety, coined what is known as Wiener’s Laws of aviation and human error. One of them was: “Digital devices tune out small errors while creating opportunities for large errors.” We might rephrase it as: “Automation will routinely tidy up ordinary messes, but occasionally create an extraordinary mess.” It is an insight that applies far beyond aviation.  

- from an article by Tim Harford in The Guardian (Oct. 11, 2016)

Harford's Corollary: A computer that is a hundred times more accurate than a human, and a million times faster, will make 10,000 times as many mistakes.  (Tim Harford, author of article)

______________________________________________________________________

Thomas E. Gill, Ph.D., P.G.

Professor of Geological Sciences and Environmental Science & Engineering

University of Texas, El Paso- Geological Sciences Building 401A

591 W. University Avenue

El Paso, TX 79968-0555

tel. 915 747 5168

email tegill@utep.edu

Professional URL: http://www.geo.utep.edu/pub/gill

Personal URL: http://about.me/tom.gill

________________________________________

From: Gill, Thomas E.

Sent: Sunday, October 30, 2016 11:14 AM

To: Gill, Thomas E.

Subject: Weiner's Law of Aviation Safety

ARTHUR C. CLARKE'S FIRST LAW

When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.- Arthur C. Clarke

What Am I Missing?

There is a local attorney who is quite aggressive in advertising his web site, "Hit By A Truck, Call Chuck, dot com"

I'm wondering what is next. What am I missing here?

Hit By A Plane, Call Jane?

Hit By A Tram, Call Sam?

Hit By A Canoe, Call Stu?

Hit By A Barge, Call Marge?

Hit By A Van, Call Stan?

Hit By A Bus, Call Gus?

Hit By A Dolly, Call Rollie?

Hit By A Skiff, Call Biff?

Hit By A Tank, Call Frank?

Hit By A Trailer, Call Taylor?

Hit By A Ferry, Call Kerry?

Hit By A Ship, Call Rip?

Hit By A Tug, Call Doug?

Hit By A Trolley, Call Dolly?

Hit By A Cart, Call Bart?

Hit By A Scooter, Call Cooter?

Hit By A Bike, Call Mike?

Hit By A Ski, Call Lee?

Hit By A Raft, Call Taft?

Hit By A Subway, Call Sunay?

Hit By A Jet-Ski, Call Betsy?

Hit By A Yacht, Call Dot?

Hit By A Tube, Call Rube?

Hit By A Taxi, Call Maxie?

Hit By A Chariot, Call Harriet?

Hit By A Wheel, Call Neil?

Hit By A Sled, Call Fred?

Hit By A Sleigh, Call Ray?

Hit By A Surrey, Call Murray?

Hit By A Jet, Call Chet?

HERSCH'S LAW OF THE INTENSIVE CARE UNIT

"In the intensive care unit, good things happen slowly.   Bad things happen fast." [Told to him by a doctor, became the title of a book] Good Things Happen Slowly: A Life In and Out of Jazz, by Fred Hersch